“Should I move abroad?” is one of the biggest decisions an ambitious Indian makes — and it is usually made on emotion and Instagram highlights rather than numbers. The reality is more sober: the US H1B is a 14% lottery, and even a big salary abroad can take years to pay off once you count what you leave behind. The Brain Drain Score forces the honest maths.

This guide breaks down visa odds, PPP salary gains and the real cost of leaving. Run your own numbers with the Brain Drain Score Calculator.

Two Questions That Decide It

Moving abroad hinges on two questions: can you get in, and does it pay off? The first is about visa odds, which vary enormously by country and depend on your age, English and skills. The second is financial — the abroad salary premium, minus relocation, minus ongoing costs like supporting parents back home. Both need honest numbers, not best-case fantasies.

The common mistake is fixating on the headline foreign salary while ignoring the visa probability and the real, ongoing costs of distance. A 3× salary means little if the visa never comes through, or if half the gain flows back home.

The Calculation

Visa Odds & Break-Even

Visa score = base country rate ± age, English, experience
Abroad CTC (PPP) = India CTC × country salary premium
Net annual gain = (Abroad − India) − parent support cost
Break-even years = relocation cost ÷ net annual gain

US H1B lottery success ≈ 14% · UAE work visa ≈ 78%

How to read it: the visa score tells you the realistic chance of getting in; the break-even tells you how many years abroad it takes to recover the move financially. A high salary premium and a shorter break-even make the case strong — but only if the visa probability is reasonable for your profile.

Visa Approval Rates — The Landscape

CountryRouteApprox. Approval
🇦🇪 UAEWork Visa~78%
🇬🇧 UKSkilled Worker~58%
🇸🇬 SingaporeEmployment Pass~55%
🇨🇦 CanadaExpress Entry (PR)~23%
🇺🇸 USAH1B lottery~14%

The salary premiums flip the order: the US offers around 3.5× PPP for engineers versus 1.8× for the UAE. High reward often comes with the hardest visa — which is exactly the trade-off the score makes explicit.

Real Examples

Example 1 — Aditya, 28, engineer, targets Canada

Young, fluent, with 5 years’ experience, his visa score is strong. With a ~2.1× PPP premium and modest parent support, his break-even lands around 3-4 years — a reasonable case if PR comes through.

Example 2 — The parent-support factor

Supporting parents in India at ₹15,000/month is ₹1.8 lakh a year off the net gain. For lower-premium destinations, this alone can push break-even from 3 years to 6 — the cost people most often forget.

Common Mistakes

  • Mistake: Fixating on the foreign salary → Better: Multiply it by the realistic visa probability first.
  • Mistake: Ignoring parent support and remittances → Better: Subtract ongoing home costs from the gain.
  • Mistake: Assuming the US is the goal → Better: A 14% lottery may make points-based routes more sensible.
  • Mistake: Treating it as purely financial → Better: Family, healthcare and belonging carry real weight too.

Tips

Get Your Brain Drain Score — Free

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Frequently Asked Questions

Roughly 23% of Express Entry applicants receive PR, but it depends heavily on CRS score, age, education and language. Younger applicants with strong English fare better. Study permits (~52%) and work permits (~48%) have higher approval and are common first steps.
On work-visa approval rates, UAE (~78%), Singapore EP (~55%) and UK Skilled Worker (~58%) are among the more accessible with fast processing. The hardest is the US H1B (~14% lottery) plus a long green-card backlog. Factor in processing time and settlement, not just the first visa.
After relocation and remittances, many break even in about 2-5 years, depending on the salary premium and family situation. High-premium destinations (US ~3.5× for engineers, Germany ~2.8×) break even faster. Parent support and ongoing costs push it later.
A meaningful share consider returning, driven by family, ageing parents, belonging and growing home opportunities. The financial gain is only one part — quality of life, community and the emotional cost of distance all matter. The score includes non-financial factors deliberately.
The visa score blends the country’s base approval rate with adjustments for age, English and experience. The financial side estimates abroad salary as India CTC × PPP premium, subtracts ongoing costs like parent support, and computes break-even in years vs relocation cost. It is an educational estimate.
Yes — demand far exceeds the annual cap, so selection is by lottery, and recently only ~14% of registrations are picked. Even after selection, Indians face a very long employment-based green-card wait due to per-country limits. Many target points-based routes like Canada or Australia instead.

This article is for educational purposes only and is not immigration or financial advice. Visa odds and salary premiums are rough averages from IRCC, USCIS, IMF and other public sources; your real outcome depends on scores, employer and policy changes. Read the full disclaimer →